TSLA
TSLA — Consumer Cyclical
Graham: 25
Buffett: 36
Lynch: 19
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Automotive; and Energy Generation and Storage.
Price ?
421.96
Market Cap ?
1583.4B
P/E ?
383.60
P/B ?
19.27
Div Yield ?
-
52W Range ?
214.25 - 498.83
200W MA ?
268.11
25
Graham-style buying rate (0-100)
Criteria breakdown
- ✓ Company size sufficient (large-cap) ? $1,583,376,105,472 — Uses market cap >= $2B as proxy
- ✓ Solid financial condition (CR>=2; LT debt <= NCAV) ? CR=2.16 | D/E=0.18 — Partial: checks current ratio; LT debt vs NCAV unavailable
- ? Uninterrupted dividends for 20 years ? — Data not available
- ✗ No losses in last 10 years ? 10y window
- ✗ EPS growth >= 33% over 10 years ? ~-70% (last 9y) — Need 10y to evaluate
- ✗ Price-to-Book (P/B) <= 1.5 ? 19.27
- ✗ Price-to-Earnings (P/E) <= 15 ? 383.6 — Uses trailing P/E as proxy for 3y avg EPS
- ✗ Combined formula (P/E * P/B) <= 22.5 ? 7392.1
- ✗ Margin of safety >= 20% ? -2457% — Intrinsic = EPS * 15
- ✗ High ROE maintained without excessive debt ? ROE=4.9% | D/E=0.18 — Approximate threshold ROE = 15%, D/E = 1.0
What is evaluated (Graham):
- Valuation discipline and buying below intrinsic value.
- Financial resilience: liquidity and prudent leverage.
- Consistent dividends and earnings over long horizons.
"The intelligent investor is a realist who sells to optimists and buys from pessimists." — Benjamin Graham
36
Buffett-style buying rate (0-100)
Criteria breakdown
- ✗ Positive and growing FCF (multi-year) ? 26,265,000,000 -> 23,274,000,000
- ✓ ROIC >= 12% sustained ? 26.0%
- ✗ High ROE (proxy for durable advantages) ? 4.9% — Consistency over years not checked
- ✗ Net profit margin >= 10% ? 4.0% — Derived from available financial filings
- ✓ Conservative leverage (D/E <= 1.0) ? 0.18
- ? Sustainable shareholder returns (dividend > 0%) ? — Does not assess buybacks or payout safety
What is evaluated (Buffett):
- Durable advantages: high ROE, healthy margins.
- Balance discipline and shareholder friendly capital use.
- Positive free cash flow and efficient reinvestment.
"It is far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price." — Warren Buffett
19
Lynch-style buying rate (0-100)
Criteria breakdown
- ? PEG ratio (P/E / growth) <= 1.0 ? — needs positive EPS growth
- ✗ Positive multi-year EPS growth (per-year >= 10%) ? ~-31.5%/yr
- ✓ Conservative leverage (D/E <= 0.5) ? 0.18
- ✗ Sustainable profitability (net margin >= 5%) ? 4.0%
- ✗ Earnings stability (no losses in 10y) ? 10y window
What is evaluated (Lynch):
- Growth at a reasonable price (PEG and EPS CAGR).
- Durable earnings with limited drawdowns.
- Conservative balance sheet and baseline profitability.
"Know what you own, and know why you own it." — Peter Lynch