UPS
UPS — Industrials
Graham: 12
Buffett: 32
Lynch: 14
United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery and logistics provider, offers transportation and delivery services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package.
Price ?
117.34
Market Cap ?
99.5B
P/E ?
17.89
P/B ?
6.14
Div Yield ?
5.59%
52W Range ?
82.00 - 123.70
200W MA ?
129.6
12
Graham-style buying rate (0-100)
Criteria breakdown
- ✓ Company size sufficient (large-cap) ? $99,549,560,832 — Uses market cap >= $2B as proxy
- ✗ Solid financial condition (CR>=2; LT debt <= NCAV) ? CR=1.22 | D/E=1.76 — Partial: checks current ratio; LT debt vs NCAV unavailable
- ✗ Uninterrupted dividends for 20 years ?
- ✗ No losses in last 10 years ? 10y window
- ✓ EPS growth >= 33% over 10 years ? ~356%
- ✗ Price-to-Book (P/B) <= 1.5 ? 6.14
- ✗ Price-to-Earnings (P/E) <= 15 ? 17.9 — Uses trailing P/E as proxy for 3y avg EPS
- ✗ Combined formula (P/E * P/B) <= 22.5 ? 109.8
- ✗ Margin of safety >= 20% ? -16% — Intrinsic = EPS * 15
- ✗ High ROE maintained without excessive debt ? ROE=33.8% | D/E=1.76 — Approximate threshold ROE = 15%, D/E = 1.0
What is evaluated (Graham):
- Valuation discipline and buying below intrinsic value.
- Financial resilience: liquidity and prudent leverage.
- Consistent dividends and earnings over long horizons.
"The intelligent investor is a realist who sells to optimists and buys from pessimists." — Benjamin Graham
32
Buffett-style buying rate (0-100)
Criteria breakdown
- ? Positive and growing FCF (multi-year) ? — Insufficient history
- ? ROIC >= 12% sustained ? — Data not available
- ✓ High ROE (proxy for durable advantages) ? 33.8% — Consistency over years not checked
- ✗ Net profit margin >= 10% ? 6.3% — Derived from available financial filings
- ✗ Conservative leverage (D/E <= 1.0) ? 1.76
- ✓ Sustainable shareholder returns (dividend > 0%) ? 5.59% — Does not assess buybacks or payout safety
What is evaluated (Buffett):
- Durable advantages: high ROE, healthy margins.
- Balance discipline and shareholder friendly capital use.
- Positive free cash flow and efficient reinvestment.
"It is far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price." — Warren Buffett
14
Lynch-style buying rate (0-100)
Criteria breakdown
- ? PEG ratio (P/E / growth) <= 1.0 ? — needs positive EPS growth
- ? Positive multi-year EPS growth (per-year >= 10%) ? — Requires positive EPS history
- ✗ Conservative leverage (D/E <= 0.5) ? 1.76
- ✓ Sustainable profitability (net margin >= 5%) ? 6.3%
- ✗ Earnings stability (no losses in 10y) ? 10y window
What is evaluated (Lynch):
- Growth at a reasonable price (PEG and EPS CAGR).
- Durable earnings with limited drawdowns.
- Conservative balance sheet and baseline profitability.
"Know what you own, and know why you own it." — Peter Lynch